NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK LAS
Points 66.4 69.9
Total Points   136.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 25.5
Points From Free Throws 11.3 11.3
Shooting BUCK LAS
Field Goals Made 23.8 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 59.8
Field Goal % 42.0% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 11.3 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 15.8
Free Throw % 70.3% 71.6%
Ball Control BUCK LAS
Rebounds 36.2 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.8
Turnovers 9.9 7.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.8
Steals 4.4 5.7
Fouls 13.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK LAS
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 69.1
% of Possessions with BUCK LAS
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 32.6%
Player Fouled 20.9% 20.8%
Turnover 14.8% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK LAS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 26.5%