NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP LIB
Points 78.5 79.1
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 45.7 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 32.4
Points From Free Throws 10.0 7.4
Shooting LIP LIB
Field Goals Made 30.5 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 61.0
Field Goal % 52.9% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 61.5% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 10.0 7.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 11.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 64.5%
Ball Control LIP LIB
Rebounds 30.1 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 4.9 7.4
Turnovers 9.3 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.6
Steals 4.9 3.9
Fouls 11.5 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP LIB
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 67.7
% of Possessions with LIP LIB
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 35.9%
Player Fouled 18.6% 16.6%
Turnover 13.5% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP LIB
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 17.2% 22.8%