NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK L-MD
Points 69.5 60.2
Total Points   129.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 20.8
Points From Free Throws 11.2 10.9
Shooting BUCK L-MD
Field Goals Made 25.1 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 54.6
Field Goal % 48.2% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 11.2 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 17.0
Free Throw % 70.3% 64.1%
Ball Control BUCK L-MD
Rebounds 32.4 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 10.5
Turnovers 9.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.0
Steals 6.3 5.7
Fouls 14.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK L-MD
Total Possessions 65.3
Effective Scoring Chances 61.8 65.2
% of Possessions with BUCK L-MD
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 29.4%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.5%
Turnover 15.2% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK L-MD
Shot Blocked 3.7% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 28.8%