NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU CSN
Points 72.4 78.8
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 51.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 14.1
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.3
Shooting NDSU CSN
Field Goals Made 23.8 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 59.9
Field Goal % 42.8% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 46.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 19.7
Free Throw % 74.1% 67.7%
Ball Control NDSU CSN
Rebounds 31.7 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.9
Turnovers 12.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.1
Steals 4.3 6.4
Fouls 15.1 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cal St Nrdge

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU CSN
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 72.3
% of Possessions with NDSU CSN
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 56.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 16.4%
Player Fouled 25.5% 20.7%
Turnover 16.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU CSN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 26.7%