NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP NAVY
Points 81.7 69.6
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 43.2 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 18.8
Points From Free Throws 12.6 11.2
Shooting LIP NAVY
Field Goals Made 30.2 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 63.2
Field Goal % 54.5% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 43.4
2 Point Shooting % 65.1% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 12.6 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 15.8
Free Throw % 77.5% 71.0%
Ball Control LIP NAVY
Rebounds 32.6 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 12.9
Turnovers 10.2 9.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.4
Steals 4.3 4.5
Fouls 12.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP NAVY
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 72.9
% of Possessions with LIP NAVY
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 23.6%
Player Fouled 21.5% 17.9%
Turnover 14.7% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP NAVY
Shot Blocked 3.9% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 33.0%