NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP UNF
Points 82.0 79.3
Total Points   161.3
Points From 2-Pointers 47.3 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 38.2
Points From Free Throws 12.4 9.4
Shooting LIP UNF
Field Goals Made 31.1 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 61.5
Field Goal % 50.5% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 23.6 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.2 28.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 12.4 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 12.2
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.2%
Ball Control LIP UNF
Rebounds 33.7 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.8
Turnovers 8.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.0
Steals 5.9 4.1
Fouls 10.4 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP UNF
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 69.0
% of Possessions with LIP UNF
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 35.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 41.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 14.6%
Turnover 11.4% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP UNF
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 22.6%