NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW HAMP
Points 77.8 71.5
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 20.1
Points From Free Throws 16.5 15.5
Shooting HOW HAMP
Field Goals Made 26.4 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 57.3
Field Goal % 44.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 16.5 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 21.3
Free Throw % 76.0% 72.7%
Ball Control HOW HAMP
Rebounds 39.1 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.9
Turnovers 10.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.3
Steals 5.7 5.3
Fouls 16.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW HAMP
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 70.4
% of Possessions with HOW HAMP
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 26.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 22.5%
Turnover 15.1% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW HAMP
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 24.8%