NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK HOF
Points 60.7 69.5
Total Points   130.2
Points From 2-Pointers 22.6 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 28.7
Points From Free Throws 9.5 10.5
Shooting BUCK HOF
Field Goals Made 20.8 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 55.7
Field Goal % 38.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 11.3 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 25.8 27.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 9.5 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 14.3
Free Throw % 70.3% 73.2%
Ball Control BUCK HOF
Rebounds 33.6 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 7.4
Turnovers 12.0 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.8
Steals 5.2 6.0
Fouls 13.9 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK HOF
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 61.9 64.3
% of Possessions with BUCK HOF
2 Point Attempt 34.3% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 37.9%
Player Fouled 18.8% 21.2%
Turnover 18.2% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK HOF
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 22.5%