NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK COLG
Points 59.5 65.9
Total Points   125.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.0 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 20.9
Points From Free Throws 8.7 10.9
Shooting BUCK COLG
Field Goals Made 21.4 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 54.8
Field Goal % 38.8% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 8.7 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 12.4 16.4
Free Throw % 70.3% 66.6%
Ball Control BUCK COLG
Rebounds 33.1 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 8.6
Turnovers 10.2 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.6
Steals 5.2 5.8
Fouls 13.2 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK COLG
Total Possessions 65.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.7 64.8
% of Possessions with BUCK COLG
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 35.1% 30.0%
Player Fouled 17.8% 20.3%
Turnover 15.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK COLG
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 25.5%