NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP ARK
Points 76.6 84.7
Total Points   161.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 49.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 20.0
Points From Free Throws 14.3 15.7
Shooting LIP ARK
Field Goals Made 27.2 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 60.9
Field Goal % 44.0% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.3 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 20.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 76.5%
Ball Control LIP ARK
Rebounds 30.5 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.7
Turnovers 10.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 6.6
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 14.9 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP ARK
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 73.4
% of Possessions with LIP ARK
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 22.5%
Player Fouled 20.2% 19.9%
Turnover 13.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP ARK
Shot Blocked 10.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 26.7%