NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW NORF
Points 72.4 75.3
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 23.9 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 17.4
Points From Free Throws 20.6 18.3
Shooting HOW NORF
Field Goals Made 21.3 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 48.1 54.1
Field Goal % 44.2% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 11.9 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 25.2 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.7% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 20.6 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 25.4
Free Throw % 76.0% 71.8%
Ball Control HOW NORF
Rebounds 33.4 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 20.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.1
Turnovers 14.8 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.6
Steals 4.4 8.0
Fouls 17.7 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW NORF
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 69.6
% of Possessions with HOW NORF
2 Point Attempt 30.9% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 20.7%
Player Fouled 25.8% 25.2%
Turnover 21.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW NORF
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 27.9%