NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW MRSH
Points 73.9 78.5
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 26.4
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.4
Shooting HOW MRSH
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 61.5
Field Goal % 42.3% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 40.3% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 20.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 71.7%
Ball Control HOW MRSH
Rebounds 37.2 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.2
Turnovers 12.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.7 5.3
Steals 5.3 7.2
Fouls 15.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW MRSH
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 74.2
% of Possessions with HOW MRSH
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 29.9%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.7%
Turnover 17.5% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW MRSH
Shot Blocked 8.7% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 27.4%