NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP AAMU
Points 81.0 68.2
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 12.6
Points From Free Throws 15.9 13.0
Shooting LIP AAMU
Field Goals Made 27.7 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 59.6
Field Goal % 47.5% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 45.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 4.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 15.9 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.0
Free Throw % 77.5% 72.3%
Ball Control LIP AAMU
Rebounds 33.6 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.0
Turnovers 10.9 13.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.0
Steals 7.6 5.6
Fouls 12.9 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP AAMU
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 71.2
% of Possessions with LIP AAMU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 16.3%
Player Fouled 22.4% 17.6%
Turnover 14.8% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP AAMU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 30.0%