NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ME ALBY
Points 75.0 74.6
Total Points   149.6
Points From 2-Pointers 47.5 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 12.3 18.6
Points From Free Throws 15.2 13.1
Shooting ME ALBY
Field Goals Made 27.9 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 60.7
Field Goal % 48.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 23.8 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 15.2 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.7
Free Throw % 71.4% 73.9%
Ball Control ME ALBY
Rebounds 31.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.8
Turnovers 11.5 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.9
Steals 8.3 7.2
Fouls 13.6 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ME ALBY
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 71.8
% of Possessions with ME ALBY
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 22.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 18.4%
Turnover 15.5% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ME ALBY
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 30.6%