NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ME VT
Points 61.3 77.0
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 19.3
Points From Free Throws 10.5 15.7
Shooting ME VT
Field Goals Made 23.0 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 54.8
Field Goal % 42.0% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 10.5 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 19.7
Free Throw % 71.4% 79.8%
Ball Control ME VT
Rebounds 27.8 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 7.8
Turnovers 11.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.6
Steals 6.8 5.7
Fouls 15.9 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ME VT
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 66.8
% of Possessions with ME VT
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 24.6%
Player Fouled 18.9% 22.9%
Turnover 16.8% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ME VT
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 26.3%