NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ME PORT
Points 70.2 67.8
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 21.4
Points From Free Throws 8.5 11.8
Shooting ME PORT
Field Goals Made 26.8 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 55.6
Field Goal % 44.4% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 8.5 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 11.9 16.7
Free Throw % 71.4% 70.9%
Ball Control ME PORT
Rebounds 32.0 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 8.2
Turnovers 8.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.9
Steals 7.1 3.9
Fouls 15.3 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ME PORT
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 65.9
% of Possessions with ME PORT
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 27.9%
Player Fouled 17.4% 22.1%
Turnover 12.0% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ME PORT
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 24.2%