NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ME FOR
Points 62.5 69.4
Total Points   131.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.6 19.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 13.8
Shooting ME FOR
Field Goals Made 21.4 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 59.2
Field Goal % 41.4% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 15.2 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 20.6
Free Throw % 71.4% 67.2%
Ball Control ME FOR
Rebounds 31.2 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 13.0
Turnovers 13.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 5.2
Steals 6.5 7.8
Fouls 15.3 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ME FOR
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 72.6
% of Possessions with ME FOR
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 25.2%
Player Fouled 23.9% 21.6%
Turnover 18.6% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ME FOR
Shot Blocked 8.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 33.9%