NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY AMER
Points 59.4 64.3
Total Points   123.7
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 25.6
Points From Free Throws 7.5 10.6
Shooting ARMY AMER
Field Goals Made 21.7 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 51.2
Field Goal % 42.8% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 27.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 7.5 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.6 14.8
Free Throw % 60.0% 71.6%
Ball Control ARMY AMER
Rebounds 30.7 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 7.6
Turnovers 10.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.3
Steals 4.4 5.7
Fouls 14.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY AMER
Total Possessions 61.9
Effective Scoring Chances 58.9 60.2
% of Possessions with ARMY AMER
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 33.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 23.1%
Turnover 16.9% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY AMER
Shot Blocked 2.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 24.6%