NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY COLG
Points 53.7 66.6
Total Points   120.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.8 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 21.4
Points From Free Throws 6.6 10.5
Shooting ARMY COLG
Field Goals Made 20.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 53.2
Field Goal % 36.5% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 6.6 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 11.0 15.8
Free Throw % 60.0% 66.6%
Ball Control ARMY COLG
Rebounds 32.3 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 7.4
Turnovers 10.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.2
Steals 4.7 6.5
Fouls 13.0 10.6

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY COLG
Total Possessions 64.0
Effective Scoring Chances 61.6 62.6
% of Possessions with ARMY COLG
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 28.4%
Player Fouled 16.5% 20.3%
Turnover 16.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY COLG
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 23.3%