NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB WVU
Points 79.0 75.4
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 24.4
Points From Free Throws 17.0 14.6
Shooting UAB WVU
Field Goals Made 27.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 57.5
Field Goal % 45.5% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 17.0 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 20.7
Free Throw % 74.3% 70.4%
Ball Control UAB WVU
Rebounds 36.6 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.0
Turnovers 9.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.9
Steals 6.8 4.3
Fouls 15.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB WVU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 69.7
% of Possessions with UAB WVU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 26.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.9%
Turnover 13.0% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB WVU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 26.1%