NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB RICE
Points 80.7 71.5
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 23.8
Points From Free Throws 15.6 11.9
Shooting UAB RICE
Field Goals Made 28.8 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 59.8
Field Goal % 46.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 15.6 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 17.3
Free Throw % 74.3% 69.2%
Ball Control UAB RICE
Rebounds 38.9 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 9.6
Turnovers 8.7 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.1
Steals 6.6 5.1
Fouls 13.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB RICE
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 69.8
% of Possessions with UAB RICE
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 27.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.9%
Turnover 12.3% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB RICE
Shot Blocked 7.0% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 26.4%