NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB MRSH
Points 79.7 71.6
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 25.4
Points From Free Throws 19.2 11.2
Shooting UAB MRSH
Field Goals Made 27.1 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 64.7
Field Goal % 45.1% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 19.2 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 15.7
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.7%
Ball Control UAB MRSH
Rebounds 41.9 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.0
Turnovers 10.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.7
Steals 6.4 6.5
Fouls 12.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB MRSH
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 74.5
% of Possessions with UAB MRSH
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 30.1%
Player Fouled 22.2% 17.0%
Turnover 13.7% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB MRSH
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 26.8%