NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP BUT
Points 67.2 85.2
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 31.6
Points From Free Throws 10.3 12.4
Shooting DEP BUT
Field Goals Made 25.3 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 61.3
Field Goal % 43.4% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 10.3 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 15.5
Free Throw % 73.8% 80.1%
Ball Control DEP BUT
Rebounds 30.5 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 8.2
Turnovers 11.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 5.8 6.6
Fouls 12.4 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP BUT
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 70.5
% of Possessions with DEP BUT
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 33.0%
Player Fouled 18.3% 17.4%
Turnover 16.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP BUT
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 25.8%