NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP MARQ
Points 61.2 89.0
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 44.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 33.7
Points From Free Throws 11.5 10.6
Shooting DEP MARQ
Field Goals Made 21.3 33.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 61.2
Field Goal % 40.2% 54.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 66.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 11.5 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 15.4
Free Throw % 73.8% 68.8%
Ball Control DEP MARQ
Rebounds 29.1 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.5
Turnovers 15.0 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.4
Steals 4.5 9.1
Fouls 12.1 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP MARQ
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 70.6
% of Possessions with DEP MARQ
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 34.8%
Player Fouled 19.4% 17.3%
Turnover 21.4% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP MARQ
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 28.1%