NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP IOWA
Points 71.3 90.3
Total Points   161.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 50.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 24.6
Points From Free Throws 15.0 15.1
Shooting DEP IOWA
Field Goals Made 24.6 33.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 62.0
Field Goal % 44.3% 54.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 25.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 61.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 15.0 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.6
Free Throw % 73.8% 77.4%
Ball Control DEP IOWA
Rebounds 29.4 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.8
Turnovers 12.3 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.5
Steals 4.7 7.0
Fouls 13.9 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP IOWA
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 73.7
% of Possessions with DEP IOWA
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 25.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 19.2%
Turnover 16.9% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP IOWA
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 28.5%