NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP XAV
Points 68.4 86.1
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 45.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 25.7
Points From Free Throws 13.7 14.8
Shooting DEP XAV
Field Goals Made 24.4 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 62.0
Field Goal % 43.5% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 19.6
Free Throw % 73.8% 75.8%
Ball Control DEP XAV
Rebounds 29.2 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 10.7
Turnovers 12.1 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.7
Steals 4.8 7.4
Fouls 14.1 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP XAV
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 73.8
% of Possessions with DEP XAV
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 26.1%
Player Fouled 21.7% 19.5%
Turnover 16.7% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP XAV
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 32.2%