NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP SJU
Points 62.8 88.3
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 25.4
Points From Free Throws 15.4 13.6
Shooting DEP SJU
Field Goals Made 20.8 33.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 64.1
Field Goal % 39.3% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 15.4 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 18.3
Free Throw % 73.8% 74.2%
Ball Control DEP SJU
Rebounds 27.2 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 13.6
Turnovers 13.4 8.3
Blocked Shots 1.9 6.7
Steals 4.8 7.4
Fouls 12.7 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP SJU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 75.9
% of Possessions with DEP SJU
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 26.8%
Player Fouled 24.0% 17.9%
Turnover 18.9% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP SJU
Shot Blocked 10.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 40.4%