NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP VILL
Points 61.4 79.6
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 35.2
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.8
Shooting DEP VILL
Field Goals Made 21.7 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 58.1
Field Goal % 40.8% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 27.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 14.8
Free Throw % 73.8% 79.7%
Ball Control DEP VILL
Rebounds 29.7 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.5 7.3
Turnovers 11.2 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.0
Steals 4.5 6.4
Fouls 11.8 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP VILL
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 61.7 66.8
% of Possessions with DEP VILL
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 40.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 17.4%
Turnover 16.7% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP VILL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 16.4% 23.2%