NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU ARMY
Points 65.9 58.6
Total Points   124.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 28.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 22.8
Points From Free Throws 13.1 7.5
Shooting CCSU ARMY
Field Goals Made 23.0 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 55.3
Field Goal % 43.1% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.1 7.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 12.6
Free Throw % 71.4% 60.0%
Ball Control CCSU ARMY
Rebounds 34.7 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.7
Turnovers 8.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.7
Steals 7.2 5.1
Fouls 11.4 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU ARMY
Total Possessions 65.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 63.0
% of Possessions with CCSU ARMY
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 30.3%
Player Fouled 21.7% 17.4%
Turnover 13.5% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU ARMY
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.3%