NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU BC
Points 64.0 77.6
Total Points   141.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 25.8
Points From Free Throws 11.3 11.3
Shooting CCSU BC
Field Goals Made 22.9 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 60.1
Field Goal % 40.1% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 11.3 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 15.2
Free Throw % 71.4% 74.4%
Ball Control CCSU BC
Rebounds 31.8 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.1
Turnovers 9.7 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 5.8 5.7
Fouls 12.4 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU BC
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 69.1
% of Possessions with CCSU BC
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 18.9% 18.1%
Turnover 14.2% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU BC
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 27.5%