NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL GW
Points 73.5 75.5
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 24.5
Points From Free Throws 10.8 13.1
Shooting DEL GW
Field Goals Made 27.7 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 59.7
Field Goal % 43.6% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 10.8 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 17.4
Free Throw % 70.4% 75.4%
Ball Control DEL GW
Rebounds 36.4 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.5
Turnovers 8.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.8
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 12.5 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL GW
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 69.9
% of Possessions with DEL GW
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 29.7%
Player Fouled 17.4% 17.4%
Turnover 12.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL GW
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 21.6%