NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL COFC
Points 72.0 78.7
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 27.3
Points From Free Throws 12.0 11.5
Shooting DEL COFC
Field Goals Made 26.8 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 64.8
Field Goal % 46.5% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 12.0 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 15.9
Free Throw % 70.4% 72.3%
Ball Control DEL COFC
Rebounds 33.5 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 11.6
Turnovers 10.3 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.9
Steals 4.6 6.2
Fouls 12.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL COFC
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 74.6
% of Possessions with DEL COFC
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 33.1%
Player Fouled 19.5% 17.9%
Turnover 14.5% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL COFC
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 30.5%