NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE CHAR
Points 63.3 74.2
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 17.9
Points From Free Throws 12.2 18.9
Shooting PRE CHAR
Field Goals Made 22.9 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 48.9
Field Goal % 42.1% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 12.2 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 25.2
Free Throw % 66.0% 75.2%
Ball Control PRE CHAR
Rebounds 29.5 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 6.9
Turnovers 9.6 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.7
Steals 5.7 5.2
Fouls 17.3 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE CHAR
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 64.0
% of Possessions with PRE CHAR
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 23.0%
Player Fouled 22.5% 26.0%
Turnover 14.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE CHAR
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 24.8%