NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE SCST
Points 71.1 69.6
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 17.4
Points From Free Throws 18.3 17.3
Shooting PRE SCST
Field Goals Made 23.5 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 49.4 55.6
Field Goal % 47.5% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.3 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 27.7 24.7
Free Throw % 66.0% 70.0%
Ball Control PRE SCST
Rebounds 32.1 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 12.8
Turnovers 13.7 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.0
Steals 6.9 7.5
Fouls 16.5 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE SCST
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 71.5
% of Possessions with PRE SCST
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 19.1%
Player Fouled 28.1% 23.0%
Turnover 19.2% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE SCST
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 35.0%