NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE JAC
Points 70.6 71.7
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 18.2
Points From Free Throws 16.3 17.2
Shooting PRE JAC
Field Goals Made 24.1 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 53.1
Field Goal % 47.2% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.3 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 24.7
Free Throw % 66.0% 69.8%
Ball Control PRE JAC
Rebounds 29.9 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.3
Turnovers 11.3 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.1
Steals 6.8 6.9
Fouls 16.5 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE JAC
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 68.7
% of Possessions with PRE JAC
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 20.3%
Player Fouled 27.7% 23.8%
Turnover 16.3% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE JAC
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 33.9%