NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE ND
Points 62.6 73.9
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 24.0
Points From Free Throws 11.3 15.9
Shooting PRE ND
Field Goals Made 22.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 52.1
Field Goal % 41.5% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 11.3 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 21.6
Free Throw % 66.0% 73.7%
Ball Control PRE ND
Rebounds 29.3 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.8
Turnovers 10.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.1
Steals 6.1 5.8
Fouls 15.5 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE ND
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 65.3
% of Possessions with PRE ND
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 26.5%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.9%
Turnover 14.8% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE ND
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 29.0%