NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE LONG
Points 71.0 74.0
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 16.1
Points From Free Throws 13.5 17.9
Shooting PRE LONG
Field Goals Made 25.3 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 53.6
Field Goal % 48.9% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 14.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 13.5 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 26.1
Free Throw % 66.0% 68.6%
Ball Control PRE LONG
Rebounds 28.3 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 11.4
Turnovers 12.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.4
Steals 6.5 6.7
Fouls 17.7 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE LONG
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 69.9
% of Possessions with PRE LONG
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 17.1%
Player Fouled 24.9% 25.4%
Turnover 17.6% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE LONG
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 34.5%