NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE NORL
Points 78.5 70.8
Total Points   149.3
Points From 2-Pointers 45.1 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 13.5
Points From Free Throws 16.5 19.6
Shooting PRE NORL
Field Goals Made 28.2 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 54.6
Field Goal % 50.4% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 14.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 16.5 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 27.7
Free Throw % 66.0% 70.6%
Ball Control PRE NORL
Rebounds 36.6 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.1
Turnovers 12.0 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.0
Steals 5.9 6.6
Fouls 19.2 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE NORL
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 71.2
% of Possessions with PRE NORL
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 16.8%
Player Fouled 25.3% 26.2%
Turnover 16.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE NORL
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 25.5%