NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE WEBB
Points 70.6 74.5
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 22.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 15.6
Shooting PRE WEBB
Field Goals Made 25.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 54.5
Field Goal % 45.2% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 25.4
Free Throw % 66.0% 61.5%
Ball Control PRE WEBB
Rebounds 32.9 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 9.4
Turnovers 10.4 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.8
Steals 6.1 5.5
Fouls 16.7 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE WEBB
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 70.0
% of Possessions with PRE WEBB
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 22.1%
Player Fouled 24.7% 23.3%
Turnover 14.5% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE WEBB
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 27.4%