NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE WOF
Points 70.0 76.3
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 27.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 12.0
Shooting PRE WOF
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 55.7
Field Goal % 43.7% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 14.8 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 19.4
Free Throw % 66.0% 61.9%
Ball Control PRE WOF
Rebounds 30.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.7
Turnovers 8.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.1
Steals 6.4 4.0
Fouls 15.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE WOF
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 68.0
% of Possessions with PRE WOF
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 29.8%
Player Fouled 24.2% 22.4%
Turnover 12.5% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE WOF
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 29.9%