NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU ETSU
Points 64.7 69.9
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 19.9
Points From Free Throws 16.9 13.4
Shooting MTU ETSU
Field Goals Made 20.6 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 62.2
Field Goal % 38.4% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 16.9 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 20.2
Free Throw % 71.4% 66.1%
Ball Control MTU ETSU
Rebounds 36.1 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 14.7
Turnovers 12.5 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.8
Steals 4.7 6.0
Fouls 13.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU ETSU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 75.0
% of Possessions with MTU ETSU
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 24.1%
Player Fouled 24.2% 18.7%
Turnover 17.8% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU ETSU
Shot Blocked 9.6% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 35.8%