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Middle Tenn at W Kentucky
Thu Feb 9, 2023
8:00pm ET
Bowling Green, KY
Middle Tenn at W Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Kentucky by 1.5, Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MTU | adv | WKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-20-0 | 19-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-0 | 13-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 9-6-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-14-0 | 12-8-0 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Ste F Austin | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | W Carolina | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Milligan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | UAB | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | L by 30 | -33.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Ohio | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Kansas City | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wofford | -8.0 | L by 10 | -18.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Missouri St | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Belmont | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | St Marys | +15.0 | L by 37 | -22.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | S Utah | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Murray St | +4.5 | L by 21 | -16.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 01/11 | Home | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | TX El Paso | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | N Mex State | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Jksnville St | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Florida Intl | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Liberty | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | N Mex State | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Jksnville St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sam Hous St | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 8 | +13.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | LA Tech | +13.0 | L by 14 | -1.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | LA Tech | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 31 | -25.0 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Kentucky Wesleyan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Wichita St | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Murray St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kentucky State | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Canisius | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -6.0 | L by 10 | -16.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Campbellsville | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/03 | Home | E Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Buffalo | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Wright St | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Austin Peay | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Cal Baptist | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Abl Christian | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Liberty | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Sam Hous St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Jksnville St | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX El Paso | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Florida Intl | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Tech | +10.0 | W by 5 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Jksnville St | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | TX El Paso | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Mex State | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Middle Tenn | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | LA Tech | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Florida Intl | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Liberty | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Mex State | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 31 | +25.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Marquette | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| WKU -1.5 | Open | +1.0 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | -1.0 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2624 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 1480 times (56.4%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee St. won the game 1144 times (43.6%).
- The team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1338-1242-44 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 561 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Middle Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 292-265-4 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/09 07:46 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 06:32 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 01:19 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 11:56 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 11:34 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/09 11:20 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 08:07 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 09:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/08 05:13 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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