NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU MISS
Points 63.4 77.8
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 19.8
Points From Free Throws 14.2 15.1
Shooting MTU MISS
Field Goals Made 21.0 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 60.6
Field Goal % 36.5% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 14.2 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 20.6
Free Throw % 71.4% 73.0%
Ball Control MTU MISS
Rebounds 36.2 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.1
Turnovers 12.8 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 6.5
Steals 4.0 6.7
Fouls 14.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Middle Tenn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU MISS
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 73.3
% of Possessions with MTU MISS
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 21.3%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.4%
Turnover 18.2% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU MISS
Shot Blocked 10.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 31.0%