NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI DEP
Points 90.7 61.7
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 39.1 15.9
Points From Free Throws 11.7 7.9
Shooting CREI DEP
Field Goals Made 33.0 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 63.3
Field Goal % 54.4% 38.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 47.2
2 Point Shooting % 68.6% 40.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 41.3% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 11.7 7.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 10.7
Free Throw % 80.8% 73.8%
Ball Control CREI DEP
Rebounds 40.7 28.4
Rebounds - Defensive 33.1 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 6.9
Turnovers 8.6 8.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.2
Steals 4.2 4.6
Fouls 10.8 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI DEP
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 69.0
% of Possessions with CREI DEP
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 59.8%
3 Point Attempt 40.0% 20.4%
Player Fouled 17.4% 15.4%
Turnover 12.2% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI DEP
Shot Blocked 3.5% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 17.2%