NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI TENN
Points 71.3 72.7
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 21.2
Points From Free Throws 13.6 8.9
Shooting CREI TENN
Field Goals Made 23.6 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 70.4
Field Goal % 40.7% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 49.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 13.6 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 11.9
Free Throw % 80.8% 75.4%
Ball Control CREI TENN
Rebounds 39.3 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.6 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.8
Turnovers 11.3 5.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.9
Steals 3.1 6.8
Fouls 10.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI TENN
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 77.6
% of Possessions with CREI TENN
2 Point Attempt 33.9% 58.7%
3 Point Attempt 37.9% 24.7%
Player Fouled 19.6% 15.2%
Turnover 15.7% 8.3%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 4.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI TENN
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 27.2%