NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN BRWN
Points 73.1 73.0
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 25.7
Points From Free Throws 13.6 13.2
Shooting QUIN BRWN
Field Goals Made 26.4 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 58.7
Field Goal % 42.2% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.6 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 20.3
Free Throw % 76.5% 65.0%
Ball Control QUIN BRWN
Rebounds 37.2 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.9
Turnovers 10.4 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.7
Steals 7.0 5.5
Fouls 15.7 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN BRWN
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 71.6
% of Possessions with QUIN BRWN
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 28.5%
Player Fouled 18.0% 21.9%
Turnover 14.6% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN BRWN
Shot Blocked 8.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 32.2%