NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN DART
Points 75.0 62.9
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 23.0
Points From Free Throws 10.3 10.2
Shooting QUIN DART
Field Goals Made 27.8 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 53.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 10.3 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 15.4
Free Throw % 76.5% 66.3%
Ball Control QUIN DART
Rebounds 36.9 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 6.5
Turnovers 8.1 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.7
Steals 8.1 4.1
Fouls 14.5 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Dartmouth

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN DART
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 63.1
% of Possessions with QUIN DART
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 29.6%
Player Fouled 16.1% 20.9%
Turnover 11.7% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 11.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN DART
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 19.1%