NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OHIO EMU
Points 79.3 64.4
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 17.2
Points From Free Throws 14.5 10.5
Shooting OHIO EMU
Field Goals Made 27.8 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 58.0
Field Goal % 47.0% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 15.8
Free Throw % 74.1% 66.6%
Ball Control OHIO EMU
Rebounds 36.0 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.1
Turnovers 8.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.7
Steals 6.7 4.4
Fouls 12.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OHIO EMU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 67.9
% of Possessions with OHIO EMU
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 22.3%
Player Fouled 21.6% 18.6%
Turnover 11.6% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken OHIO EMU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 27.7%