NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OHIO BGSU
Points 79.7 70.4
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 17.3
Points From Free Throws 12.9 16.5
Shooting OHIO BGSU
Field Goals Made 28.7 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 57.9
Field Goal % 47.9% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 22.7
Free Throw % 74.1% 72.7%
Ball Control OHIO BGSU
Rebounds 32.9 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 11.7
Turnovers 8.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.9
Steals 6.0 4.7
Fouls 15.1 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OHIO BGSU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 71.8
% of Possessions with OHIO BGSU
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 22.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.2%
Turnover 12.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OHIO BGSU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 31.5%