NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OHIO IONA
Points 75.6 69.8
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 24.6
Points From Free Throws 16.3 11.9
Shooting OHIO IONA
Field Goals Made 25.3 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 59.9
Field Goal % 47.7% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 17.9
Free Throw % 74.1% 66.3%
Ball Control OHIO IONA
Rebounds 35.1 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.2
Turnovers 11.5 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.3
Steals 5.2 6.5
Fouls 13.2 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OHIO IONA
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 71.0
% of Possessions with OHIO IONA
2 Point Attempt 35.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 28.1%
Player Fouled 24.3% 18.9%
Turnover 16.4% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OHIO IONA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 29.2%